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Building the Knowledge Base of Nonprofit Management:
A Searchable Database
Forecasting for Social Services: A Model for Area Agencies on Aging
Abstract
Estimating future social service utilization & attendant costs has
not played an explicit role in local agency planning until quite
recently. Demands for increased control of social service spending,
however, suggest that such estimates will play an increasing role. An
effort to develop & implement a forecasting capability for local
Area Agencies on Aging is presented. After noting the role of
forecasting in relation to planning, priorities for forecasting among
multiple information requirements (eg, service need, utilization,
& costs) are suggested & an exploratory forecasting system
based on a computer simulation model that should meet such information
requirements is presented. Using historical data from the census as
well as client information systems, the model estimates service use
rates & costs, thereby generating critical information for
short-term future decisions. 1 Figure. HA.
Journal
(Winter 1978)
vol2
no4
pages401-410
Categories
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Nonprofit Management
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Financial Planning and Management
